Insights

Methods, models and what actually survives a clinic.

Epidemiology, causal inference, machine learning and the distance between a benchmark and a ward. Written in the language the idea arrived in — some pieces are in Spanish, some in English.

Cuando ajustar inventa una asociación: el colisionador

Hay un error de ajuste peor que bloquear un efecto: crear uno que no existía. Y los datos no te van a avisar.

What a health ministry actually needs from an AI vendor

Four things that decide the deal, none of which are the model — written from the side of the table that has to sign and answer for it.

The measles pathway had to work without signal

The connection drops. The patient is still in front of you. That sentence was the whole specification.

El error de ajuste que arruina tu estimación

Ajustar por un mediador «por si acaso» no es prudencia: es sabotear el efecto que querías medir.

Benchmarks are exams. Clinics are the real world.

Why diagnostic AI keeps winning benchmarks and losing wards — and the four places it dies in between.

Why an epidemiologist founded an AI agency

Ten years of watching health organizations sit on mountains of data and decide with a fraction of it.